10AM BONNIE STILL HEADING FOR THE GULF BUT LOOKS LIKE CLOSER TO NEW ORLEANS SUNDAY


000WTNT33 KNHC 231450TCPAT3BULLETINTROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 5NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0320101100 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010 …CENTER OF BONNIE OVER BISCAYNE BAY…MOST OF THE WEATHER ALREADYINLAND… SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————–LOCATION…25.4N 80.3WABOUT 30 MI…45 KM SSW OF MIAMI FLORIDAABOUT 130 MI…210 KM SE OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/HRPRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/HRMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS——————–CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM DESTINFLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA…INCLUDING LAKEPONTCHARTRAIN…HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNINGSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…* THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS* THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARDINCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY…AND ALONG THEWEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD* DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA…INCLUDING LAKEPONTCHARTRAINA TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITERINLET AND LAKE OKEECHOBEEFOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASEMONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICEFORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDEUNITED STATES…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONALMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ——————————RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT AT 1100 AM EDT…1500UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS APPROACHING THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 80.3WEST. BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH…30KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF BONNIE WILL MOVE ACROSS THESOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY AND MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OFMEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. BONNIE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THENORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/HR…WITH HIGHERGUSTS. NO IMPORTANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST WHILE BONNIE ISCROSSING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. HOWEVER…SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENINGIS POSSIBLE WHEN THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES…140 KMMAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. AN ELEVATED AUTOMATIC STATION AT FOWEY ROCKS OFF THE EAST COAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA JUSTREPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 46 MPH…74 KM/HR WITH GUSTS TO 52MPH…85 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB…29.77 INCHES.HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ———————-WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THENORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS BUT SHOULD DIMINISH TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER SOUTHERNFLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE KEYS IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINFALL…BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF1 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA…WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUMAMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHESARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.STORM SURGE…STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERNBAHAMAS…THE FLORIDA KEYS…AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVEGROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OFWHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL IN THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. TORNADOES…ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERNFLORIDA LATER TODAY.NEXT ADVISORY ————-NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…200 PM EDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS

072310_10am bonnie

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