Friday, March 29, 2024
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NWS Houston/Galveston: Tropical Update

A frontal boundary will move through the region early Monday and possibly stall over the coastal waters. This stalled boundary could be the main focus for the development of a low-pressure system over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. In fact, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring this region for a possible cyclone formation early next week. If the system does form, any development would likely be slow to occur as it drifts westward in the north-central or the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. The chance of cyclone formation in 5 days is low (20 percent). Rainfall amounts for Southeast Texas will depend greatly on how this develops, so much uncertainty still remains. We will continue to monitor this system in the next few days and will be scheduling email briefings should the forecast change and/or the threat to Southeast Texas increase.

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