Potential Tropical Cyclone Two east of the Windwards

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two has formed well east of the Windward Islands and is pushing quickly off to the west at over 20 mph. With this quick movement, this will affect the Windward Islands by late on Monday into Monday night.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two is expected to strengthen in the next day into a tropical storm as it moves closer to the Windward Islands. If this is named, this would become Bret. Tropical storm warnings were issued for Barbados, St. Vincent and the Grenadines. This system will bring heavy rainfall and stronger wind gusts to near 50 mph for the Windward Islands as it moves through Monday night into Tuesday. With being over some warm waters and south of some dry air and dust north of the current position, this is likely to strengthen over the next day or two as it likely slows a bit. Once this system pushes into the Caribbean Sea, this will weaken as it encounters some increased wind shear and dry air around the storm. This will likely weaken the system into a Tropical Rainstorm over the central Caribbean Sea.
Meanwhile, we also continue to monitor a low pressure center around 60 miles east of the northern coast of Belize. This system has been designated Invest 93L and will track off to the northwest passing near the northeastern portion of the Yucatan Peninsula later today and tonight before entering the southern Gulf of Mexico tomorrow. The National Hurricane Center has tentatively scheduled an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft to investigate Invest 93L Monday.
Invest 93L is currently located just off the coast of northern Belize and is a relatively broad and weak 1007-mb low pressure center. Current satellite imagery continues to show robust but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity in association with Invest 93L. This thunderstorm activity will continue to bring downpours today and tonight to portions of Belize, the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and northern Honduras. Invest 93L will drift northwestward over the next 24 hours, passing over or very near to the northeastern corner of the Yucatan Peninsula tonight before entering the southern Gulf of Mexico tomorrow. At this point, once Invest 93L is pulling away from the land mass of the Yucatan and into the sufficiently warm waters of the southern Gulf of Mexico, further development and organization will be increasingly likely. Strong shear that has been plaguing the Gulf is projected to weaken somewhat across the central and eastern Gulf over the next day or two. This lessening shear, combined with very warm sea-surface temperatures, will give Invest 93L an opportunity to strengthen and organize over the next day or two.
The ultimate track of Invest 93L remains uncertain, even as development appears increasingly likely. Computer forecast models often do a poor job of handling highly sheared systems that are either weak tropical systems or have yet to fully develop. Thus, at this time the degree and location of possible impacts from Invest 93L remain uncertain. We continue to advise that all interests along the Gulf Coast of eastern Mexico and the United States should continue to carefully monitor the progression of this system and check back often with AccuWeather.com for the latest information.
By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski

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