Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible Saturday night into Sunday as a cold front moves across the region. Ahead of the cold front, elevated tides may produce minor coastal flooding and an enhanced rip current risk along Gulf-facing beaches.
Dry and warm conditions will continue today and Friday, but southerly winds will increase across Southeast Texas and the adjacent coastal waters on Friday and Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. Breezy to windy conditions both of these days will result in tide levels exceeding 3-3.5 feet above MLLW, possibly producing minor coastal flooding and increasing the rip current risk along Gulf-facing beaches.
The cold front is expected to sweep across the region Saturday night into Sunday morning with widespread showers and thunderstorms developing along the front. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two. Locally heavy rain will also be possible, but the overall speed of this system should limit flooding concerns. The cold front and associated storms are expected to be clear of the region late Sunday morning.