Given the heavy rainfall parts of the region experienced early this morning and again this afternoon, we wanted to provide a brief update on the forecast through the end of the work week for any ongoing response operations. Attached please find an overview of current and forecast conditions, with a summary of hydologic also conditions included below.
Heaviest rain this afternoon continues to shift east away from the Houston metro this afternoon, with a break in rain expected across much of the region this evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop southwest of the region tonight after midnight, spreading into the region 12-3 AM Thursday. Periods of showers and thunderstorms will continue across the region through 12 PM Thursday, with rain chances dropping dramatically Thursday afternoon and evening.
Most bayous and creeks in Harris County have crested and are on a rapid fall. Some locations are still rising but will remain within banks, with the exception of Little Cypress Creek at Becker Road which is slowly rising past bankfull where a flood warning is in effect.
Flood warnings are in effect for minor flooding along portions of San Bernard River, with the San Bernard at Boling, TX, forecast to reach moderate flooding stage tomorrow afternoon.
Many locations are forecast to rise or are rising on the Trinity, San Jacinto, Brazos, Lavaca and Navidad Rivers over the next 5 days; however, no flooding is currently forecast.
Additional rainfall overnight is captured in these forecasts; however, a few isolated heavy storms could cause minor changes to the forecasts.