CURRENT RADAR
928AM
There will be isolated strong to severe thunderstorms beginning to develop as early as this afternoon capable of producing gusty winds and hail. Then a cluster of strong to severe storms is expected to move through the region overnight tonight through daybreak Wednesday bringing increased chances of locally heavy rainfall and strong, damaging wind gusts. Moist onshore flow and daytime heating will lead to the development of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon – mainly for areas north of I-10. The storms that develop this afternoon will have plenty of energy to work with, so we will need to monitor for the potential for them to become strong to even severe in strength producing gusty winds and hail. While we are dealing with these afternoon thunderstorms, a large cluster of storms is expected to develop over the Hill Country during the late afternoon/evening hours. This cluster of storms is expected to move eastwards, reaching the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods region around midnight tonight then continuing southeastward through the night before exiting off the coast near daybreak. The exact timing of these storms will be determined by small-scale features that will become more clear through the day. The cluster of storms is expected to weaken as it progresses through the region, but it will have the potential to produce strong, damaging wind gusts (possibly greater than 75mph). The Storm Prediction Center has increased the risk areas for today/tonight with the Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) now in effect for areas northwest of a line extending from northern Colorado County to Walker County and up through Houston County. Then there is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) in effect for the rest of SE Texas.
In addition to the severe weather potential, the Weather Prediction Center has placed all of SE Texas in a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Excessive Rainfall. Generally expecting up to 1-2” of rainfall through Wednesday morning, but isolated higher amounts of 3-5” will be possible with the stronger storms overnight. The risk of training thunderstorms is low, but rainfall rates will be fairly high (1-3” per hour possible). Minor urban and small stream flooding is the most likely impact from the heavy rainfall.
