MORE RAIN FOR TODAY SOME POSSIBLY HEAVY
FOR SE TX FROM THE CENT TO UPPER COASTAL REGION…IR/VIS ANIMATION SHOW INCREASINGLY BETTER DEFINED MCS SIGNATURE FORMING ALONG AND INLAND OF SE TX SPREADING TO THE SW AIDED BY LIFT OVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER GULF OF MEXICO MCS WHICH IS SEEN IN VISIBLE IMAGERY PROPAGATING TO THE SW ALONG/OFF THE SE TX COAST. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES SFC BASED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE BEING MAXIMIZED IN THE APPROXIMATE REGION BETWEEN KLBX (ANGLETON) AND KRKP (ROCKPORT) WHICH IS COLLOCATED WITHIN AXIS OF THE BEST LOW LEVEL INFLOW OF 20-25KTS AT 850MB AND INSTABILITY AXIS. THE RESULT IS LEADING TO CONTINUOUS NEW CELL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THIS CONVERGENCE AXIS AND SUBSEQUENT INDIVIDUAL CELL MOTIONS WITHIN THE MEAN FLOW INITIALLY TO THE N AND THEN NE ONCE THE CELLS REACH INLAND. THE NEWLY DEVELOPED CELLS NEAR THE CENT TX COAST ARE THEN ALSO MERGING WITH DEVELOPMENT SPREADING SW FROM THE UPPER TX COAST WITH MOISTURE PROFILES AND SATELLITE SIGNATURES SUPPORTING LOCALIZED RAIN RATES OF OVER 3″/HR WITH THE STRONGER CORES AND SHORT TERM 2-3 HOUR LOCALIZED TOTALS REACHING THE 3″-5″ RANGE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. JUST DISCUSSED THE SITUATION WITH WPC MPD FORECASTERS WHO WILL REASSESS POSSIBLE MPD ISSUANCE WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.