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HomeLocal / Area NewsNWS Houston/Galveston | Hurricane Beryl Update - July 3rd, 2024

NWS Houston/Galveston | Hurricane Beryl Update – July 3rd, 2024

Beryl is expected to move into the SW Gulf of Mexico this weekend. As of right now, the favored path for Beryl after moving into the Gulf will be for it to make landfall in NE Mexico bringing limited impacts for SE Texas. Regardless of the track, there will be an increased risk of strong rip currents for the holiday weekend.
Hurricane Beryl continues on its path through the Caribbean and is expected to pass near Jamaica this afternoon as an intense Category 4 Hurricane. It will continue westward through the Caribbean through the next few days, pass over the Yucatan Peninsula late Thursday or early Friday, and then into the Bay of Campeche/SW Gulf of Mexico this weekend. It will be moving into an area more hostile for tropical development over the next few days, so gradual weakening is expected. Further weakening is expected depending on how much land interaction it has with the Yucatan Peninsula and is forecast to be a Tropical Storm as it enters the SW Gulf.

 

The exact path of Beryl still has some uncertainty after it moves into the Bay of Campeche: 

  • Beryl travels further northwards in the western Gulf making landfall in southern Texas early next week. This solution would lead to a greater potential for wind, rain, or storm surge impacts to SE Texas.

  • Beryl tracks further south and makes landfall in eastern Mexico late Sunday into Monday. This solution would lead to limited to no impacts from wind, rain, or storm surge for SE Texas. This solution is the more favored solution at this time.

We are still a week out before Beryl nears the NE Mexican or Texas coastline, so please continue to monitor the forecast for any changes that may occur. 

In either solution, Beryl will cause an increased risk of strong rip currents over the weekend and into next week. With it being a holiday weekend and there likely to be a larger than normal crowd at the beach, we want to stress the importance of communicating the rip current risk with beach-goers. Some hazardous marine conditions will also be possible due to elevated seas and tides.

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