Severe storms may develop across portions of E/SE Texas this evening, with the greatest risk across areas north and northwest of the Houston area between 6 PM and 12 AM. The primary weather threats will be large hail and strong winds, though an isolated tornado remains a very low possibility.
We continue to anticipate the development of showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of an advancing surface cold front this evening. With significant instability and ample moisture in place, storms that do develop will have the potential to become strong to severe. The greatest risk for severe storm development will be along and north of a line extending from Brenham to Livingston between 6 PM and 12 AM. Should storms become severe, the primary weather hazards are expected to be large hail and strong, potentially damaging winds. Further south, precipitation coverage is expected to be more isolated in nature and the chance of any stronger storms is considerably lower.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed Houston County and Madison County within a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM this evening. Depending on how storms begin to develop over the next several hours, it is possible that this watch may be expanded to include additional portions of our area. This graphic indicates the area included within the watch as of 3PM CDT.