Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop across SE Texas today along and ahead of a stalled surface cold frontal boundary. A few storms may become severe, with wind and hail being the primary threats should this occur. Additionally, storms may produce some locally heavy downpours and some minor urban/small stream flooding cannot be ruled out.
A surface cold front remains stalled over the area this morning. Ample moisture remains in place over the region as offshore southerly winds remain persistent. Scattered showers and storms have started to develop over the past few hours, with the current area of focus along and south of the I-10 corridor. The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the area within a Marginal Risk for severe weather, while portions of Galveston, Liberty, and Chambers Counties are included within a Slight risk area. Additionally, the Weather Prediction Center has included much of our area within a Marginal risk of excessive rainfall today (see below).
The main concerns associated with any developing storms are hail and strong winds. While we have not received reports of any hail this morning within our area of responsibility, storms along the current line have gone on to produce 1.75-inch hail in Jasper County, TX. Given the slow storm motion and potential for the training of storms, locally heavy downpours may result in some minor urban and small stream flooding.