Thursday, June 13, 2024


..Depression strengthens into Tropical Storm Lee south of the
Louisiana coast...heavy rainbands continue to spread across much 
of southeastern and south-central Louisiana...
summary of 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...information
location...27.4n 91.5w
about 200 mi...320 km se of Cameron Louisiana
about 210 mi...340 km SW of the mouth of the Mississippi River
maximum sustained winds...40 mph...65 km/h
present movement...NW or 325 degrees at 2 mph...4 km/h
minimum central pressure...1003 mb...29.62 inches
watches and warnings
changes with this advisory...
summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pascagoula Mississippi westward to Sabine Pass Texas...including
the city of New Orleans...Lake Pontchartrain...and Lake Maurepas
a Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning this case within the
next 24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office. 
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
at 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Lee was
located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and
observations from oil rigs to be near latitude 27.4 north...
longitude 91.5 West. Lee is drifting toward the northwest near 2
mph...4 km/h. A continued slow and possibly erratic motion toward
the northwest or north is expected today and Saturday. On the
forecast track...the center of the tropical storm is expected to
approach the coast of southern Louisiana during the weekend.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph...65 km/h...
with higher gusts.  Gradual strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours. Wind gusts to near 60 mph are being reported on oil
rigs north and east of the center at elevations of a few hundred
feet above the ocean surface.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 200 miles...325
km...mainly northeast through southeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from nearby
oil rigs and an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 1003
mb...29.62 inches.
Hazards affecting land
rainfall...Tropical Storm Lee is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over southern Louisiana...southern
Mississippi...and southern Alabama through Sunday...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches.  These rains are expected to
cause extensive flooding...especially in urban areas.
Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2
to 4 feet above ground level along the northern Gulf Coast in areas
of onshore flow.
Wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by late afternoon or evening...making
outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Tornadoes...isolated tornadoes are possible over portions of
southern Louisiana tonight.
Next advisory
next complete advisory...400 PM CDT.
Forecaster Stewart
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